Methanol strong shock for the time being

Strong methanol shocks On August 13, the main methanol contract for 1309 opened with a gap up at 2,794 yuan per ton, showing strong momentum during the session. The price fluctuated between a high of 2,798 yuan per ton and a low of 2,767 yuan per ton, finally closing at 2,882 yuan per ton—up 10 yuan from the previous day's settlement. Trading volume reached 1,408 lots, with open interest increasing by 4,776 lots and 266 lots respectively. On the same day, the spot market also saw a rise in prices. In Jiangsu, Chupin reported prices between 2,860–2,900 yuan per ton, up by 10–20 yuan per ton. In Shandong, prices were listed at 2,620–2,670 yuan per ton, with the upper end rising by 20 yuan per ton. Guangdong’s spot prices stood at 2,950–3,000 yuan per ton. Meanwhile, the CFR China price closed up by 1–2 USD per ton, reaching 378–380 USD per ton. Despite the upward trend in methanol prices, downstream products such as formaldehyde, acetic acid, and dimethyl ether experienced mixed gains due to higher input costs. However, overall market conditions remained weak, with limited demand and persistent losses for producers. This has made it difficult for companies to pass on the increased costs to consumers. In terms of trading strategy, the domestic methanol market continued to show improvement, with port prices rising steadily. In the mainland, traders remained cautious in the absence of new price developments from the northwest region. The 1309 contract opened sharply higher, creating significant volatility. From a technical perspective, the 2,800 yuan per ton level emerged as a key resistance point. The day ended with a long upper shadow, indicating that bulls were pushing forward but lacked confidence. Despite this, the market still showed some enthusiasm, and traders are advised to monitor the 1401 contract closely for potential opportunities.

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