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Ferrosilicon prices are strong, metal silicon will continue to rise
**Abstract**
Core Tip: Ferrosilicon prices continue to rebound, market turnover improves, manufacturers mainly focus on fulfilling orders, spot supply in the northwest remains tight, and some producers are hesitant to sell. It is expected that prices will see a slight recovery next week.
**I. Domestic Market Review**
(a) Ferrosilicon
This week, ferrosilicon prices continued their upward trend. In the northwest region, the mainstream price for ferrosilicon 72 was reported at 5,750–5,850 yuan/ton, up by 50 yuan/ton from last week. Ferrosilicon 75 remained stable at 5,950–6,050 yuan/ton, with Inner Mongolia’s 75-grade material slightly rising to 6,000–6,100 yuan/ton (all-inclusive tax price).
Despite fewer new inquiries from traders, demand from existing customers has increased, leading to faster inventory turnover and production focused on order fulfillment. With limited stock in the market, a bullish sentiment has taken hold. Some previously suspended manufacturers are considering resuming operations, while others are planning to expand capacity. However, steel mills’ profit margins have not improved significantly, which limits further price increases. As a result, businesses remain cautious about the recent rebound.
On the downstream side, steel prices have remained flat at the start of the month, with weak shipments and little pressure to push prices higher. The so-called “Golden September and Silver October†season has yet to materialize. Meanwhile, the magnesium ingot market saw a short-term rally, but sluggish demand has kept prices low. With weak momentum in raw material markets, expectations for sustained ferrosilicon price growth remain limited.
(b) Metal Silicon
This week, metal silicon prices also rose steadily. Current quotes show 3303 at 12,400–12,600 yuan/ton, 2202 at 13,400–13,600 yuan/ton, oxygen-free 553 at 11,300–11,400 yuan/ton, and 441 at 11,900–12,100 yuan/ton—each increasing by more than 100 yuan/ton (port-inclusive tax price).
The spot market for metal silicon in Yunnan remains tight, with most manufacturers selling out and holding little inventory. Some have raised prices and are reluctant to sell, preparing for the dry season. Due to the tight supply, prices continue to climb. The oxygen-free 553 port price has reached 1,500 yuan/ton, and with the implementation of the “silicon-electricity linkage†policy in Yunnan, electricity costs have risen alongside silicon prices, providing additional support to the market.
With the increase in metal silicon prices, some previously idle manufacturers in the southwest are planning to restart operations. With the end of the flood season, concerns over construction activity lowering prices have eased. Currently, downstream demand is improving, and manufacturers are experiencing less shipment and capital pressure, giving them strong incentives to continue pushing prices higher. Even though some downstream traders find it difficult to accept the price increases, they are not willing to trade at lower levels.
**II. International Market**
As of September 6, ferrosilicon prices in Hong Kong were quoted at 1,350–1,380 USD/ton, while U.S. ferrosilicon stood at 0.94–0.96 USD/lb, up by 0.03 USD/lb. European ferrosilicon was priced between 1,020–1,060 EUR/ton. For metal silicon, Hong Kong prices ranged from 1,890–1,980 USD/ton, with both high and low prices rising by $100 and $80 respectively. European metal silicon was quoted at 1,950–2,050 EUR/ton, and U.S. metal silicon at 120–125 cents/lb.
Ferrosilicon export prices remained relatively stable this week. The FOB price for Tianjin Port’s 72-grade material was 1,370–1,380 USD/ton, while 75-grade ferrosilicon FOB was 1,380–1,390 USD/ton.
Metal silicon export prices saw a modest increase of 20–30 USD/ton. The FOB price for oxygen-free 553 was 1,860–1,890 USD/ton, 441 at 1,980–2,000 USD/ton, 2202 at 2,190–2,230 USD/ton, and 3303 at 2,070–2,110 USD/ton.
**III. Market Outlook**
Industry analysts suggest that ferrosilicon prices continue to recover, with improved market activity and production focused on order fulfillment. The tight supply in the northwest and reluctance among some producers to sell point to a potential slight rebound in prices next week.
For metal silicon, the price rise continues, supported by limited supply and strong manufacturer willingness to raise prices. The “silicon-electricity linkage†policy in Yunnan provides solid backing for the market, and it is expected that prices will keep rising in the near term.